Virtual Presentation – Ten eLearning Predictions for 2010

From a blog...but useful for interest and/or tracking purposes.

-Dave

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Virtual Presentation – Ten eLearning Predictions for 2010: "

Ten eLearning Predictions for 2010

To kick off the new year, Dr. Tony Karrer is sharing some thoughts on what's going to be happening in the world of eLearning in 2010. Back in 2006, Tony was talking about eLearning 2.0 and it's long term impact on workplace learning. What will be similar kinds of key issues that we need to be aware of in 2010?

Tony promises to deliver a fast-paced, interactive discussion that will look at trends around social and informal learning, mobile, authoring, learning management systems, and others. Come participate in what promises to be a fun session.

This event will be held via the web on Thursday January 21 from 2:45 – 4:00 Eastern. It is being hosted by the local DC Chapter of ASTD’s Technology Learning Group. If you are interested in attending, please contact Todd Slater at toddslater1@gmail.com for webinar information.

About the Presenter:

Dr. Tony Karrer is an expert on innovative uses of technology that improves human performance. He is a sought after presenter on Web 2.0’s impact on knowledge work and workplace learning. He is author of the award-winning eLearning Technology blog, creator of eLearning Learning, and founder of Work Literacy.

Dr. Karrer’s experience is diverse including initial CTO of eHarmony, associate professor of Computer Science, and consultant to Credit Suisse, Citibank, Lexus, Microsoft, Nissan, Universal, IBM, Hewlett-Packard, Sun, Symbol Technologies and many others. He was valedictorian and attended USC as a Tau Beta Pi fellow, one of the top 30 engineers in the U.S. where he received a M.S. and Ph.D. in Computer Science.

Web 3.0

The following is from Harol Jarche, although I am shocked he left off Web 3.0, which is what is occuring now and will change the way we use the internet. As I have noted before, Web 1.0 is JUST starting to become common in the school, so most schools are already two steps behind where they need to have their minds for planning.

Semantic Web: The Semantic Web is an evolving development of the World Wide Web in which the meaning (semantics) of information and services on the web is defined, making it possible for the web to "understand" and satisfy the requests of people and machines to use the web content.

Friday’s Finds #31: "

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Web 2.0: A simple (working) definition. via @csessums

Web 1.0 = me

Web 2.0 = me + you

Web 1.0 = read

Web 2.0 = read + write

Web 3.0:

Web 1.0 = connecting ideas

Web 2.0 = connecting ideas + connecting people

Web 1.0 = search

Web 2.0 = recommendations of friends/others

Web 1.0 = find

Web 2.0 = share

Web 1.0 = techies rule

Web 2.0 = everybody rules

Picture: via @jalam1001

“There are NO JOBS TO GO BACK TO. Just as there was no village and rural work in 1840.” @robpatrob

Sharing tacit knowledge

This is what I am trying to address here in the Cayman Islands by introducing hybrid learning. Social learning is the only way "real knowledge" can be transferred and improved upon 90% of the time.

-Dave
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Sharing tacit knowledge: "

H.L. Mencken, American satirist, wrote that, “For every complex problem there is an answer that is clear, simple, and wrong.” That pretty much sums up the problems we are facing today in our organizations and institutions. We are using tools that assume simple, or at most complicated, problems when many are actually complex. A mechanistic approach to problem solving is inadequate in complex adaptive environments. Global networks have made all of our work, and all of our problems, interconnected. We live in one big, unfathomable complex adaptive system.

Managing in complex systems is more about influencing possibilities rather than trying to determine any predictability. This requires tacit knowledge, or ways of thinking that cannot be codified and written up as best practices. It’s a continuous process of trying things out, sensing what happens and developing emergent practices. This is the great potential of web social media. Social networking supports emergent work practices. The true value of social networking is in sharing tacit knowledge.

What hinders the adoption of social media is that hierarchical leaders (those in power by virtue of their position, not their knowledge or ability) are not able to function when ideas and knowledge flow laterally as well as vertically. Hyperlinks subvert hierarchy. Social media bypass the organization’s information gatekeepers and render hierarchical leadership useless.

Over the past century, large organizations have simplified and codified their processes in order to get economies of scale. They have also centralized as many functions as possible, including anything related to learning and performance. This is the modern institution and corporation. The problem is that this will not work any more. Biological, technological, environmental and societal change are accelerating. Moore’s Law states that computational power doubles every 18 months while human knowledge doubles every year.

Our current models for managing people, training and knowledge-sharing are insufficient for a workplace that demands emergent practices just to keep up. Formal training has only ever addressed 20% of workplace learning and this was acceptable when the work environment was merely complicated. Knowledge workers today need to connect with others to co-solve problems. Sharing tacit knowledge through conversations (the only way to do this) is an essential component of knowledge work. Social media enable adaptation (the development of emergent practices) through conversations.

In the 21st century, conversation is learning and learning is work.

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Single-media schools, multimedia world

As Dr. Scott McLeod at Iowa State University blogged about the below, it got me more motivated to make sure that hybrid learning is a part of my childrens lives. The below chart tells the picture of how we can engage learners. I would suggest that the computer (or variations of it such as streaming video to your phone/pda) will overtake TV.
- Dave

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Single-media schools, multimedia world: "

If a picture tells a thousand words, then the two images below from a recent report by the Global Information Industry Center at the University of California, San Diego are of interest. The first image shows the average American’s hourly information consumption per day. Note that the small yellow wedge represents printed text, which of course is the overwhelmingly dominant information medium in P-12 schools.

The second image shows the decreasing prevalence of printed text in our lives since 1960:

These data represent average Americans. I’m sure they would look different if we just looked at our younger generations.

It’s simple, really:

How long are American schools going to get away with these kinds of expansive disconnects between how we consume information in schools and in our daily lives?

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